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"Follow the money" was Deep Throat's (aka W Mark Felt) suggestion for solving the cover up of the Watergate burglary. Wise Money's blog follows this adage by keeping you informed of events in the financial world. If you heed this advice you will have a much better chance of keeping and growing your pot of money than just relying on luck and ignorance. Over 525 daily postings since 2004.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Euro Inflation takes to the stage

Euro zone inflation took centre stage yesterday as Jean-Claude Trichet spoke at a conference in Vienna. The European Central Bank President made it clear that the governing council must use interest rates to deliver price stability.

Any other considerations, such as growth and employment are secondary. These comments effectively dismiss the recent calls from French and Italian government officials for growth to be taken into account.

Inflation which reached 3.6% last month, the fastest pace in 16 years, has led to the ECB leaving rates unchanged. It appears this may be the same reason for the repo rate remaining at 4% in the near future. In the same speech, Trichet again voiced his concern about the euro's strength and the impact it has on European exports.

The euro bounced back against the dollar during yesterday's trading, after three days of declines. Yet another occasion on which Trichet talks tough on inflation, also mentions the detrimental effects of a stronger euro and the market automatically pushes the single currency higher.

There was additional evidence, provided by the Hometrack Ltd survey, that the UK housing market is correcting. The results which were released early yesterday showed the average price of a home declined a further 0.6% in April. This is the biggest month on month drop in over three years for this report.

Oil prices climbed again to reach a record $119.93 a barrel, caused by a strike at a refinery in Scotland and further violence in Nigeria.

Possibly of greater interest is that the EUR/ USD cross rates has had a correlation of 0.96 with the price of oil. Just a bit closer and it's a perfect hedge.

The contents of this blog are for information purposes only. It is not intended as a recommendation to trade or a solicitation for funds. The Wise Money Blog cannot be held responsible for any loss or damages arising from any action taken following consideration of this information.

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