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Wise Money Blog- daily news on financial matters

"Follow the money" was Deep Throat's (aka W Mark Felt) suggestion for solving the cover up of the Watergate burglary. Wise Money's blog follows this adage by keeping you informed of events in the financial world. If you heed this advice you will have a much better chance of keeping and growing your pot of money than just relying on luck and ignorance. Over 525 daily postings since 2004.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Weak IFO expected....

The Euro fell for a third day against the dollar on speculation the IFO Business Climate report will show today that confidence has slumped in Germany to a three year low.

The currency traded near a three-month low versus most major currencies and towards a six month low against the dollar with concern credit-market losses and slowing exports will stop the European Central Bank from raising interest rates this year.

The US dollar grew stronger on Monday and early Tuesday on the speculation of a weak German IFO survey, but could well decline later today with expectation of Sales of new houses in the U.S. likely to have fallen in July as mortgage lending dried up.

US homes purchases are expected to have dropped 0.9 percent to a 525,000 annual pace. Mounting losses on subprime mortgages have caused banks to withhold credit and boost borrowing costs, hurting demand even as prices are falling and making houses more affordable.

The decrease in sales has signalled the worst real-estate slump in more than quarter of a century.

The Pound fell against the dollar again on Monday, extending a fifth week of declines, the longest continued drop since February 2006. The UK Currency, slipped to its lowest level since July 2006 as effects of last weeks government report showed economic growth stagnated in the second quarter.

The report also added pressure to the Bank of England to set aside concerns about inflation and cut its benchmark interest rate, currently at 5%. With the UK inflation rate at more than twice the 2 percent target, the Bank of England have been reluctant to lower interest rates, and understandably so.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars continued their recent declines as concerns credit-market turmoil will widen prompting investors to sell higher-yielding assets funded in the Japanese currency.

The New Zealand dollar fell to its lowest level in over a week, and the Aussie dollar to a four month low against the most traded currencies on speculation that the nations bank will cut Australian interest rates from the 12-year high of 7%.

Crude oil was little changed after rising yesterday as Tropical storm Gustav formed in the Caribbean Sea, raising concerns it may disrupt production at oil fields in the gulf of Mexico.

Gustav has strengthened to near hurricane force with winds about 70 miles an hour and was moving towards the gulf. Prices also rose after Russian lawmakers voted to recognize the independence of two breakaway Georgian regions, increasing the prospect of further tensions in the area.

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