euro stress tests buoy Pound

Sterling has just received a welcome boost after the release of positive retail sales figures.euro stress tests buoy PoundData showed a 0.7% increase month-on-month & 1.3% yoy, the highest monthly figure since April 2008.

The ONS suggested the World Cup boosted consumption of electrical goods, which after England’s performance should see a double whammy when people look to replace the TV’s thrown out of the window after the Germany game.

Bank of England minutes released showed a 7-1 vote in favour on keeping interest rates on hold, with Andrew Sentence, the only dissenter, voting for a rate rise. More interestingly, the minutes showed discussion of an extension to the asset purchase scheme if, as expected, the economic outlook continued to deteriorate.

Sterling continues its recent volatility in light of the comments & also rumour circulating yesterday that the bank has reopened dollar swap lines and low liquidity in the market exaggerates moves.

The Euro continues to tread water ahead of the Stress test results. There is increasing uncertainty around the release of the results, the planned announcement is today at 4.30pm.

Strange that an exercise in reducing uncertainty and restoring credibility is actually having the opposite effect, and that is feeding though to the Euro which now trades lower against both Sterling and the Dollar.

The perceived safe haven of the Swiss Franc has also hit the headlines as the SNB announced a huge FX loss following large bouts of currency intervention earlier in the year. The continuing strength of the Swissy will be a real headache for the central bank as it fights to remain out of a potential deflationary spiral brewing in the Eurozone.

Leave a Reply