Equity markets support central banks

UK and European moves to restore confidence in financial markets were met with strong approval by markets yesterday as the FTSE, Dax and CAC40 all rebounded.

The US recorded is largest one day rally since the recovery following the 1929 crash while Asian shares continued the trend overnight with the Nikkei climbing a record 14.2%, and the Hang Seng up 4%.

The FTSE gained 8.3% on the back of the details that emerged of the UK government's plans to inject some £37bn that will result in a part nationalisation of some British banks.

The UK model was mirrored in the Eurozone with a number of nations announcing plans. Germany guaranteed €400bn of interbank lending and provided a €100bn fund to inject capital while France guaranteed up to €320bn of interbank lending with a further €40bn at its disposal to provide new capital. The Dax and CAC40 both ended the day over 11% higher.

The US has this morning announced that it will invest $125bn in nine major American banks as part of its $700bn plan, with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is due to speak later today to discuss the plans which also involve a further $125bn to recapitalise financial institutions across the US. The Dow rose 11.08% yesterday.

Three month GBP Libor set slightly lower at 6.27 and three month Dollar Libor fell 7 basis points to 4.75, in what may be signs that interbank lending markets are reacting positively to government intervention.

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Debate escalates on Fed bailout plan

Another day of falling crude oil prices and the morale boost investors experienced on reports of Warren Buffet's $5bn investment in Goldman Sachs saw the dollar gain ground against the euro and other major currencies yesterday.

First thing this morning the Pound regained its upward momentum against the dollar following comments from Bank of England member Andrew Sentance stating that the central bank must control its response to the financial crisis and remember its mandate of inflation control.

There has been a shift in thinking within the Bank of England to that of a more "€˜dovish stance". That said there is still a large proportion of people who believe the Bank of England will lower rates when they next meet on October 8th.

The ongoing debate between US Treasury Secretary Paulson, Fed Chairman Bernanke and Congress has seen scepticism from both Democrat and Republican politicians. Congressman from both sides wanted assurances that the Treasury Asset Relief Programme wouldn't result in a waste of public funds.

Paulson attempted to provide comfort by explaining “the program we have proposed is not a spending program. It is an asset purchase program, and the assets which are bought and held will ultimately be resold with the proceeds coming back to the government".

George Bush expressed his support through a broadcast to the nation on primetime television, urging them to back the plan in order to ease a “serious financial crisis".

Furthermore, John McCain emphasised that he was prepared to suspend his presidential campaign until a solution was agreed, pressuring Obama to do the same. The uncertainty surrounding which aspects of €œPaulson's Plan will be approved forced a flight to safety which saw interbank lending rates hit record highs yesterday.

Whilst economic releases continue to take a back seat in determining the direction of the markets, German IFO figures fell to a lower than expected 92.9 in September at€“ it's lowest rate since May 2005, pointing to the growing threat of recession in the Eurozone economy. US home sales also reported a fall to its slowest pace in 17 years.

Some key data out in the US today; New home sales, Unemployment claims and Core durable goods orders.

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Wise Money's concerns rise over Fed bailout

Friday's dollar rally was replaced by yesterday's sell-off as jitters about the US government's $700bn bailout plan for the financial sector set in and investors mulled the inflationary implications of the government plan.

The greenback felt the pressure as investors flocked to precious metals and oil. USD experienced the biggest one-day drop against the euro since the currency was formed nine years ago, whilst sterling hit a 3-week high against the dollar.

The flight to commodities forced investors who were betting on falling oil prices to cover their short positions due to the massive surge in crude oil.

Failure to do so would have resulted in traders being obliged to take physical delivery of the oil. The largest one-day rise on record saw oil jump to an intraday high of $130 a barrel before falling right back to this morning's opening price of $108.

Meanwhile, Alastair Darling took the opportunity at Labour's Manchester Conference to speak about the "unprecedented economic challenges" facing the UK, saying that he was committed to restoring financial stability through more stringent legislation and regulation of the financial system.

The market will be watching closely as the terms of Hank Paulson's financial relief programme are unveiled. Both he and Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke are due to testify before the Senate Banking Committee today.

Market data will probably take more of a back seat once again, with the most likely market mover being the euro zone PMI survey for September.

The contents of this blog are for information purposes only. It is not intended as a recommendation to trade or a solicitation for funds. The Wise Money Blog cannot be held responsible for any loss or damages arising from any action taken following consideration of this information.